Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.13) 
