SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Grasshopper Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Luzern | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | St Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Sion had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Sion |
44.83% ( 1) | 24.47% ( -0.4) | 30.69% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 1.54) | 44.81% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 1.47) | 67.16% ( -1.48) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 1.08) | 20.1% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.64% ( 1.71) | 52.35% ( -1.71) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.37) | 27.62% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.48) | 63.15% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Sion |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.69% |
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