Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Sion had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Sion
44.83% ( 1)	24.47% ( -0.4)	30.69% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 57.83% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

1.54)

44.81% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

1.47)

67.16% (

-1.48)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

1.08)

20.1% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

1.71)

52.35% (

-1.71)

Sion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

0.37)

27.62% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

0.48)

63.15% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Lugano 44.83%

Sion 30.69%

Draw 24.47%

Lugano	Draw	Sion
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.83%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.69%