Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Servette	Draw	Lugano
44.2% ( -1.43)	25.22% ( 0.56)	30.58% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-2.04)

48.14% (

2.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-1.9)

70.3% (

1.9)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23% (

-1.48)

21.77% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.04% (

-2.31)

54.96% (

2.31)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64% (

-0.44)

29.36% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

-0.54)

65.34% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Servette 44.2%

Lugano 30.58%

Draw 25.22%

Servette	Draw	Lugano
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.2%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.58%