SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | Servette | 35 | -16 | 43 |
| 7 | Grasshopper Zurich | 35 | -1 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
44.2% ( -1.43) | 25.22% ( 0.56) | 30.58% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -2.04) | 48.14% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -1.9) | 70.3% ( 1.9) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( -1.48) | 21.77% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( -2.31) | 54.96% ( 2.31) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( -0.44) | 29.36% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( -0.54) | 65.34% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.58% |
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