Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
