Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
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