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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
FZ

Lugano
2 - 0
FC Zurich

Aliseda (22'), Sabbatini (45+2')
Steffen (39'), Hajdari (70'), Doumbia (79'), Babic (83'), Bislimi (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Aiyegun (5'), Henriksen (6'), Simic (36'), Omeragic (90+4')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Zurich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sion 1-1 Lugano
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Servette
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawFC Zurich
36.4% (-0.3 -0.3) 24.9% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 38.69% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.164 -0.16)45.24% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.157 -0.16)67.58% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.239 -0.24)24.4% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-0.338 -0.34)58.82% (0.337 0.34)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.19% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.07% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 36.4%
    FC Zurich 38.69%
    Draw 24.9%
LuganoDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.4%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sion 1-1 Lugano
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Basel
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-1 Lugano
Saturday, February 18 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Luzern
Sunday, February 12 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 Lugano
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Servette
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-2 Young Boys
Saturday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Grasshopper 1-2 FC Zurich
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Winterthur
Sunday, February 12 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Sion 0-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, February 5 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-0 St Gallen
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League


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