SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
36.4% ( -0.3) | 24.9% ( 0.03) | 38.69% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -0.16) | 45.24% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( -0.16) | 67.58% ( 0.16) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0.24) | 24.4% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -0.34) | 58.82% ( 0.34) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( 0.06) | 23.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( 0.09) | 57.07% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.69% |
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