Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
26.42% ( -0.05) | 24.83% ( -0) | 48.75% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( -0.02) | 48.9% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( -0.02) | 70.99% ( 0.02) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( -0.05) | 32.83% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( -0.05) | 69.39% ( 0.05) |
FC Zurich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0.01) | 20.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.66% ( 0.02) | 52.33% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.75% |
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