Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Servette	Draw	Lugano
51.45% ( 0.2)	23.95% ( 0.03)	24.6% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34% (

-0.35)

46.66% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07% (

-0.32)

68.92% (

0.32)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

-0.06)

18.14% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.89% (

-0.1)

49.11% (

0.09)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

-0.38)

33.12% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

-0.42)

69.71% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Servette 51.44%

Lugano 24.6%

Draw 23.95%

Servette	Draw	Lugano
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 24.6%