SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
41.89% ( 0) | 24.09% ( 0) | 34.02% |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.17% ( 0) | 41.82% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.77% ( 0) | 64.23% |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 0) | 20.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.54% ( 0) | 52.46% ( -0) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( 0) | 24.14% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( 0) | 58.45% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.02% |
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