SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 70.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Lugano win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
12.44% ( 0.02) | 17.42% ( 0.04) | 70.13% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.14) | 36.88% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.94% ( -0.15) | 59.06% ( 0.14) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.96% ( -0.05) | 41.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% ( -0.05) | 77.59% ( 0.04) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.58% ( -0.06) | 9.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.34% ( -0.13) | 31.66% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 12.44% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.42% | 0-2 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 8.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 70.13% |
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