Lugano
2 - 1
Luzern

Lavanchy (20'), Haile-Selassie (83')
Sabbatini (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Drager (45+1')
Cumic (14'), Drager (46')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Luzern
42.26%	25.59%	32.14%

Both teams to score 54.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83%

49.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77%

71.23%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87%

23.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01%

56.98%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17%

28.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31%

64.68%

Score Analysis

Lugano 42.26%

Luzern 32.14%

Draw 25.59%

Lugano	Draw	Luzern
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.26%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.14%