Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
