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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34
May 11, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
L

Basel
2 - 0
Lugano

Kasami (19'), Stocker (24')
Comert (36'), Abrashi (70'), Klose (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
52.69%21.91%25.4%
Both teams to score 62.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.44%36.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.29%58.7%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95%14.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.37%41.63%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58%62.42%
Score Analysis
    Basel 52.69%
    Lugano 25.4%
    Draw 21.91%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 4.09%
4-1 @ 3.07%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-1 @ 4.97%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.42%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.4%

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