SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
46.38% ( -0.18) | 25.08% ( 0.47) | 28.54% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( -2.17) | 48.59% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( -2.01) | 70.7% ( 2.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( -0.96) | 20.98% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( -1.53) | 53.74% ( 1.53) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -1.32) | 31.03% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( -1.58) | 67.34% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.54% |
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