SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
34.3% ( -0.35) | 23.08% ( -0.04) | 42.62% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 64.42% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.2% ( 0.12) | 36.8% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( 0.13) | 58.98% ( -0.13) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.13) | 21.65% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( -0.2) | 54.77% ( 0.2) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 0.21) | 17.78% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.51% ( 0.37) | 48.49% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
