SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.63%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 3-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
| 55.63% | 20.61% | 23.76% |
| Both teams to score 65.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.06% | 31.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.37% | 11.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.34% | 36.66% |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.29% | 60.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 6.75% 1-0 @ 6.45% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 4.58% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.11% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 3% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.98% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.76% |
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