SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Servette had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Servette |
41.63% ( 0.07) | 24.43% ( 0.25) | 33.94% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.56% ( -1.28) | 43.44% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.16% ( -1.28) | 65.84% ( 1.28) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( -0.52) | 20.97% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% ( -0.81) | 53.73% ( 0.81) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.78) | 24.95% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( -1.1) | 59.59% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.94% |
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