SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
47.61% ( 0.06) | 23.41% ( 0.01) | 28.98% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.1) | 40.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.11) | 63.21% ( 0.1) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( -0.02) | 17.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( -0.03) | 47.81% ( 0.03) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.1) | 26.76% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.13) | 62.03% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 47.61% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.98% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
