SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
34.84% ( 0.13) | 22.5% ( -0.05) | 42.67% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 66.83% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.31) | 33.73% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.45% ( 0.35) | 55.55% ( -0.35) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.21) | 19.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( 0.33) | 52.11% ( -0.33) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( 0.09) | 16.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( 0.17) | 46.26% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.84% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 42.67% |
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