SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grasshopper Zurich | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Luzern | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Basel | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | St Gallen | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Servette | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 | Sion | 7 | 0 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Servette had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
49.34% ( 0.63) | 23.97% ( -0.04) | 26.69% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.23) | 44.98% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.22) | 67.33% ( 0.22) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.16) | 18.32% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( 0.27) | 49.41% ( -0.27) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -0.56) | 30.54% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( -0.67) | 66.77% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.69% |
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