SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sion | 35 | -21 | 40 |
| 9 | Luzern | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Lausanne Sport | 36 | -37 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | Servette | 35 | -16 | 43 |
| 7 | Grasshopper Zurich | 35 | -1 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Servette had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
49.65% ( 0.09) | 22.81% ( -0.14) | 27.55% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.03% ( 0.72) | 38.97% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.71% ( 0.75) | 61.29% ( -0.75) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0.3) | 15.94% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.79% ( 0.54) | 45.21% ( -0.54) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.41) | 26.79% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.54) | 62.08% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.67% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.55% |
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