SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sion | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | St Gallen | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lugano | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
48.56% ( -0.1) | 22.68% ( -0.05) | 28.76% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( 0.38) | 37.47% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( 0.4) | 59.7% ( -0.4) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.11) | 15.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.09% ( 0.19) | 44.9% ( -0.19) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( 0.29) | 25.21% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( 0.4) | 59.94% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.76% |
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