SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
37.15% ( 0.43) | 24.27% ( -0.04) | 38.58% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.45% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( 0.22) | 42.18% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.22) | 64.59% ( -0.22) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( 0.33) | 22.61% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( 0.48) | 56.22% ( -0.49) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.1) | 21.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( -0.15) | 55.14% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
