Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | Servette |
37.15% (![]() | 24.27% (![]() | 38.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.81% (![]() | 42.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.41% (![]() | 64.59% (![]() |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% (![]() | 22.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% (![]() | 56.22% (![]() |
Servette Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% (![]() | 21.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% (![]() | 55.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lugano | Draw | Servette |
2-1 @ 8.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 11.17% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.49% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.58% |
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