Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Luzern |
43.4% (![]() | 23.63% (![]() | 32.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.06% (![]() | 39.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.7% (![]() | 62.29% (![]() |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% (![]() | 18.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.89% (![]() | 50.1% (![]() |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% (![]() | 23.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.96% (![]() | 58.03% |
Score Analysis |
Basel | Draw | Luzern |
2-1 @ 8.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.49% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 10.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.97% |
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