Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Sion had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
