SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
50.68% ( 0.06) | 22.95% ( 0.09) | 26.37% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.53) | 40.62% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( -0.54) | 63% ( 0.54) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.17) | 16.18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( -0.31) | 45.65% ( 0.31) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.39) | 28.5% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -0.49) | 64.27% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.5% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.37% |
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