SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.34%) and 0-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Basel |
22.72% ( -0.08) | 20.61% ( 0.23) | 56.67% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 64.2% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.82% ( -1.26) | 33.17% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.08% ( -1.46) | 54.92% ( 1.46) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( -0.78) | 27.26% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% ( -1.02) | 62.69% ( 1.02) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( -0.44) | 11.74% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.11% ( -0.96) | 36.89% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 22.72% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.23)0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)2-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 56.67% |
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