Arouca have put together a string of fine results in recent weeks and will fancy their chances of ending their winless run in this fixture. Vizela, meanwhile, have managed just one home win in eight matches since April and we are backing the Arouquenses to come away with a slender victory on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
0.1) 
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