Arouca have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, claiming two wins and two draws in their most recent four outings. The Arouquenses take on an out-of-sorts Maritimo side and we predict that they will steal a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 35.3%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
35.3% ( -0.95)	29.84% ( -0.1)	34.86% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 42.57% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.41% (

0.35)

64.58% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.4% (

0.24)

83.6% (

-0.24)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

-0.45)

34.6% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

-0.48)

71.32% (

0.48)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

0.91)

34.9% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

0.95)

71.64% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 35.3%

Arouca 34.86%

Draw 29.83%

Maritimo	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.3%	1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.83%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 34.86%