Arouca head into the weekend on a fine run of form, claiming five wins and three draws in their last eight matches across all competitions. Rio Ave have endured a poor run away from home this season and we are backing the Arouquenses to come away with a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Rio Ave
34.49% ( 0.03)	27.9% ( -0.01)	37.62% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

0.06)

57.92% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

0.05)

78.63% (

-0.04)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

0.05)

31.67% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

0.05)

68.08% (

-0.05)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

0.03)

29.71% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

0.03)

65.76% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Arouca 34.48%

Rio Ave 37.61%

Draw 27.9%

Arouca	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.61%