Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
37.72% (![]() | 30.06% (![]() | 32.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.51% (![]() | 65.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.77% (![]() | 84.23% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% (![]() | 33.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% (![]() | 70.13% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% (![]() | 37.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% (![]() | 74.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 13.65% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 13.47% (![]() 0-0 @ 12.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.05% | 0-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.22% |
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