Vizela have had a strong season, but Sporting's recent form has been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to back against the Green and Whites here. The visitors should have too much attacking quality for their opponents, and we are also backing them to keep a clean sheet.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
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