Buoyed by their victory over Maritimo, Teixeira's men will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to rekindle their race for a spot in Europe. While Vizela have the firepower in their ranks, they have struggled to get going in recent weeks and we predict that Vitoria de Guimaraes will do just enough to come away victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
36.2%	27.64% ( 0)	36.17% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13%

56.87% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.21%

77.79% (

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.18% (

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93%

30.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8%

66.2% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.19%

Vizela 36.16%

Draw 27.63%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.19%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.16%