We said: Belenenses 0-2 Benfica
Belenenses may look slightly refreshed under new management, but we see them being comfortably beaten by Jesus's men on Saturday.
O Belem have struggled going forward while Benfica's collection of attacking stars is tough for any side to keep at bay, and we expect the gulf in class to be clear.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.72%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
