Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Vilafranquense win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.01) 
