SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
12.49% ( -0.46) | 18.87% ( -0.03) | 68.64% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -1.01) | 43.63% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -1) | 66.03% ( 1) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.65% ( -1.39) | 45.35% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.79% ( -1.12) | 81.21% ( 1.11) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.36% ( -0.16) | 11.64% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.33% ( -0.34) | 36.66% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.87% | 0-2 @ 12.2% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.43)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 8.75% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.48% Total : 68.63% |
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