Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Vilafranquense win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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