SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.68%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 0-4 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
5.43% ( 0.1) | 10.89% ( 0.12) | 83.68% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.11) | 28.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.14) | 49.86% ( 0.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.27) | 50.98% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.67% ( 0.18) | 85.33% ( -0.18) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.04% ( -0.06) | 4.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.16% ( -0.17) | 19.84% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 5.43% | 1-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 10.89% | 0-3 @ 11.42% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 11.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 8.58% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 5.16% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 83.67% |
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