SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
36.78% ( -0.12) | 26.32% ( 0.07) | 36.89% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( -0.29) | 51.55% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -0.25) | 73.35% ( 0.25) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0.21) | 27.13% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( -0.27) | 62.52% ( 0.27) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.11) | 27.06% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.14) | 62.43% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.89% |
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