SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.56%) and 0-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
8.49% ( -0.52) | 15.2% ( -0.52) | 76.32% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.6% ( 0.74) | 38.4% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( 0.77) | 60.69% ( -0.77) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.65) | 49.61% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.62% ( -0.46) | 84.38% ( 0.47) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( 0.41) | 8.38% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.84% ( 1.01) | 29.16% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.02% Total : 8.49% | 1-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.68% Total : 15.2% | 0-2 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 10.56% ( 0.25)0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 7.4% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 6.55% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 3.25% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 76.3% |
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