Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.02) 
