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SL
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
FL

Sporting Lisbon
6 - 0
Farense

Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)
Essugo (10'), Fernandes (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Goncalves (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 3-1 Farense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 SC Farense

Despite missing a number of players due to their participation at the World Cup, we expect Sporting to make light work of their opponents, potentially owing to a fast and clinical start from squad members looking to impress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
62.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 20.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 16.51% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)42.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.05% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.41% (0.012 0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.03% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75.75% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 62.9%
    SC Farense 16.51%
    Draw 20.57%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 62.9%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.57%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 3-1 Farense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Wolves
Sunday, July 31 at 6.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Santa Clara (0-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 1 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Farense
Saturday, July 24 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 4-0 Farense
Wednesday, May 19 at 8pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Tondela
Saturday, May 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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