Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
57.46% ( 0.06) | 24.07% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.08% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( 0.13) | 53.95% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( 0.11) | 75.4% ( -0.11) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.07) | 18.61% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% ( 0.13) | 49.9% ( -0.13) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.62% ( 0.05) | 43.37% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.39% ( 0.04) | 79.6% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.47% |
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