SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
50.37% ( -0.14) | 24.53% ( 0.03) | 25.09% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( -0.02) | 48.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( -0.02) | 70.82% ( 0.01) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( -0.07) | 19.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.86% ( -0.11) | 51.14% ( 0.1) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( 0.08) | 33.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( 0.09) | 70.47% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.09% |
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