Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 88.11%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Pevidem had a probability of 3.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.76%) and 0-4 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.14%), while for a Pevidem win it was 1-0 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.46) 
