SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.85%) and 1-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
77.37% ( 0.33) | 14.69% ( -0.1) | 7.94% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.39) | 37.95% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.42) | 60.21% ( 0.41) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.95% ( -0.02) | 8.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.68% ( -0.05) | 28.31% ( 0.04) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.4% ( -0.84) | 50.6% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.93% ( -0.58) | 85.07% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 77.35% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.69% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 7.94% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
