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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
GV

Benfica
5 - 1
Gil Vicente

Otamendi (17'), Akturkoglu (25'), Amdouni (78'), Luis (90'), Rollheiser (90+4')
Kokcu (33')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Correia (8')
Garcia Gonzalez (9'), Cruz (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Monday, September 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente

Although Gil Vicente have avoided losing in five matches, that sequence is likely to end against Benfica, who seek a 15th straight league win at the Stadium of Light and fifth consecutive success in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 7.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.85%) and 1-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawGil Vicente
77.37% (0.333 0.33) 14.69% (-0.105 -0.1) 7.94% (-0.2381 -0.24)
Both teams to score 45.43% (-0.78 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.04% (-0.391 -0.39)37.95% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.78% (-0.419 -0.42)60.21% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)8.04% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.68% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)28.31% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.4% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)50.6% (0.83199999999999 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.93% (-0.583 -0.58)85.07% (0.574 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 77.35%
    Gil Vicente 7.94%
    Draw 14.69%
BenficaDrawGil Vicente
2-0 @ 12.92% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 10.85% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 6.84% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.45% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.053 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 77.35%
1-1 @ 6.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 14.69%
0-1 @ 2.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 7.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Monday, September 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Braga
Sunday, September 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, August 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 4-2 AVS
Friday, August 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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