SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
20.91% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 56.34% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.05) | 45.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( -0.05) | 67.81% ( 0.05) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.04) | 35.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.38% ( -0.04) | 72.61% ( 0.03) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.02) | 15.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.77% ( -0.04) | 45.22% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.91% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.34% |
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