Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rabo Peixe had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Rabo Peixe win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
