While Gil Vicente endured a turbulent start to the season, they will be backing themselves to extend their dominance over Casa Pia and grab the desired result in front of their home fans. However, the visitors have picked up four wins and one draw in their five away games this season and we see them leaving with something at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
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