SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
15.6% ( 2.8) | 21.89% ( 0.87) | 62.51% ( -3.67) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 4.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 1.92) | 49.91% ( -1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 1.69) | 71.9% ( -1.69) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.39% ( 5.34) | 44.6% ( -5.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.38% ( 4.01) | 80.61% ( -4.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( -0.54) | 15.41% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( -1.02) | 44.23% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.78)2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.3)Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.6% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.67)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -1.46)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 7.49% ( -1.08)1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.58)1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.38)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.16)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 62.51% |
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